Midterm elections/Trump punished by voters, and change in Congress could accelerate arms sales to Taiwan

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There is a blue wave in the midterm elections in the United States. The Democratic Party has won the Senate and is expected to make a comeback in the House of Representatives as well. The Republican Party has lost popular support due to commodity prices and Trump’s policies. After the change in Congress, in addition to checking and balancing Trump’s domestic affairs, it may also accelerate arms sales to Taiwan.

trump ask votersmidterm elections Considering it a referendum on them, the voters did the same, but did not vote.

Support for the Republican Party fell in the US midterm elections. The Democratic Party not only won swing districts, but also invaded Republican territory it had not won for decades;Washington Post The analysis suggests that behind this blue wave is voter dissatisfaction with prices, wars and Trump’s policies, which his administration will face in the next two years as new checks and balances.

According to current vote results, the Democratic Party has gained control of the Senate and is expected to retake the House of Representatives; It has also won federal senatorial and gubernatorial elections in Texas, the first time since 1994 that it has won a local statewide election; It also picked up Senate seats in North Carolina, South Carolina, and Ohio.

House of Representatives districts previously won by Democrats include a Kentucky district, which Trump won by 15 percentage points last time, and two Florida districts, which Republicans redrawn to improve their chances of victory. Even the candidate in charge of the Republican House campaign organization was left behind when 95% of the votes were cast in his own district.

Voters also changed across ethnic groups. Exit polling conducted for the Associated Press and major television networks showed that compared to 2024, support among Latinos, Catholics and voters under 30 has moved at least 10 percentage points toward the Democratic Party.

Preliminary data also shows that fewer Republican supporters turned out to vote on Election Day than four years ago.

Price pressure is an important backdrop to this election. Early exit polls from TV networks show that more than 40% of voters believe family conditions are worse than two years ago, and only 20% believe they have improved; Nearly three-fourths are dissatisfied with the direction of the country’s development and about 40% of them are angry.

The Post pointed out that the president’s party usually loses seats in midterm elections, but this time Trump’s decline in support is directly related to his own decisions, including tariffs, the war in Iran and his opposition to the release of files related to the late sex offender Epstein.

In the final weeks of the election campaign, Trump still insisted that the economy was growing rapidly and attacked the Democratic Party with terms such as communist and lunatic. Struggling Republican candidates have distanced themselves from him on tariffs and war with Iran.

The Republican Party’s financial advantage also failed to swing the election. Citing federal filings, The Post reported that super PACs supporting Trump invested at least US$380 million, and billionaire Musk invested more than US$400 million.

According to AdImpact data, Republicans spent $5.45 billion on television, radio and digital advertising, more than the $5.02 billion spent by Democrats. The Texas Senate race cost more than $500 million, making it the most expensive non-presidential race in history.

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