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The Kaohsiung mayor’s survey shows that Lai Ruilong is temporarily ahead of Ko Chi-en with 40% and 33%, but 26% have not expressed their opinion that is still the key to victory. The situation may change depending on the performance of the debate and the inclination of the voters.
This newspaper is the latest news about Kaohsiung mayor election.voting It was found that Lai Ruilong of the Democratic Progressive Party is leading with 40% support.Kuomintang 33% and 26% of Ke Xi’en voters are undecided; 49% of voters are optimistic about Lai Ruilong’s election, which is more than the 21% who are optimistic about Ke Zhiyan.
Regarding the results of the poll, KMT mayoral candidate Ke Jieyan said the survey was conducted before the TV debate. After the debate, many policy concepts were recognized, and he felt that the momentum of the Blue Army had been improved. “We will continue to work hard and keep running to win the approval of the voters.” Democratic Progressive Party Kaohsiung mayoral candidate Lai Ruilong said that he should remember the mayorChen Kimai Reminding yourself to “beware of fear”, have the courage to take responsibility and humbly face the orders handed down by people.
The Kaohsiung mayoral election is contested by five people, representing blue-green. Besides DPP lawmaker Lai Ruilong and KMT lawmaker Ke Zhiyen, there are three other candidates: Zhang Jing, Wang Zhaomin and Hong Fanglong. The survey found that 62% of Kaohsiung voters are concerned about the mayoral election, and 33% are not concerned about the election. The level of concern about the election is markedly lower than that of 79% in Taipei City.
If they vote tomorrow, 40% of voters support Lai Ruilong and 33% support Ke Xien. The other three candidates are surrounded by blue and green, and do not have very many votes. Total support is less than 1%. The remaining 26% voters are still undecided, which will be the key to victory in the election.
In terms of differences in party preferences, 88% of KMT supporters support Ke Xien, while 82% of DPP supporters support Lai Ruilong. The solidarity of the blue camp is slightly higher than that of the green camp. Among People’s Party supporters, 60% support Ke Zhiyan and 9% support Lai Ruilong. Among neutral voters, 25% support K, 22% support him, and 53% are still waiting to see.
49% of voters are optimistic that Lai Ruilong will be elected, 21% are optimistic that Ke Jian will win, and 30% are unable to decide. Even among KMT supporters, 29% are optimistic that Lai Ruilong will win, and only 55% are optimistic that Ke Xian will win. Looking at the choice of candidates, voters have equal likes and dislikes for both. 32% of voters like Ke Jieyan, 32% dislike it and 37% have no opinion. For Lai Ruilong, 33% of voters like it, 29% dislike it, and 39% have no opinion. There is still room for improvement in the compatibility of these two.
In terms of political performance, 36% of voters are satisfied with Lai Ruilong’s performance as a legislator, while 18% are dissatisfied; 31% of voters approve of Ke Zhiyan’s performance as a legislator, while 26% are dissatisfied. More than 40 percent voters are not able to evaluate the work of both the MLAs.
In terms of municipal issues, 32% of voters think that the municipal approach proposed by Lai Ruilong is more attractive, and 23% agree with Ke Xien; In terms of solving the youth outflow and retaining young people in Kaohsiung, 32% think Lai Ruilong is more capable, and 24% agree with Ke Xien. As for the Kaohsiung City Government’s debt problem of more than NT$200 billion, 27% believe Lai Ruilong is more capable of handling it, while 22% believe Ke Xian is more capable. On all three municipal issues, more than 44% of voters could not assess the merits of either.
Liao Daqi, honorary professor of the Institute of Political Science at Sun Yat-sen University, analyzed that the overall election situation in Kaohsiung is relatively cold, and the rate of non-commitment is relatively high. If the candidates from the blue and green camps can arouse enthusiasm, Ke Jian may still make a comeback; Zhang Junhao, a full-time teacher of the Department of Politics at Tunghai University, believes that victory or defeat will be within 100,000 votes; Zhang Qilu, a distinguished professor in the department of political economy at Sun Yat-sen University, said voters who have not expressed their opinions may be influenced by the results of the debate or other factors. As long as about 3% of voters waver, the election result can change.
Summary FAQ
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Polls show Lai Ruilong of the Democratic Progressive Party leading with 40% support and Xi Jinping of the Kuomintang with 33%. The difference between the two is not very large, and 26% of voters are still undecided, indicating that the election has not yet been decided.
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There are clear differences in political party leanings. 88% of KMT supporters support Ke Jieyan, while 82% of DPP supporters support Lai Ruilong. 53% of neutral voters are still waiting and watching, which is most likely to become the final key.
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In addition to support, opinion polls also show that perceptions may be affected after the debate, and the situation in the Kaohsiung election is relatively cold, with high rates of non-commitment. Scholars believe that as long as about 3% of voters waver, the final result can be changed.
