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The number of early voters in the US midterm elections exceeded 47.92 million, a new high. Voting enthusiasm is high in swing states, and the number of Democratic registered voters is high. However, experts have warned that it is still difficult to assess the consequences on this basis.
According to data released today, next week the U.S.midterm elections in advancevote The number of people infected has reached a record high, reaching nearly 47.9 million. Voting participation increased in several key battleground states during registrationdemocratic party Voters significantly outnumbered Republicans.
Agence France-Presse reported that data from the University of Florida’s Election Lab showed that as of this afternoon, the number of early voters in the United States had reached 47,922,669, surpassing the record set in the 2022 midterm elections, when a total of 45.9 million people voted before official voting day.
The wave of early voting was especially evident in states with tight Senate races, where the outcome could determine control of the Senate for the final two years of President Trump’s term.
In Texas, according to official data, as of the 28th, the number of people voting in advance has exceeded 6 million. Compared to the same period in 2022, the number of people voting in person at polling stations has increased by almost 50%.
The North Carolina State Elections Commission said the number of local early voters increased by nearly 37% compared to the same period four years earlier; On the 26th in 2022, the total number of people voted in South Carolina during the entire early voting period was exceeded.
Republican Senator Roger Marshall is again facing a tough election battle in Kansas. The number of local early returned ballots increased by nearly 2/3 compared to the same period in 2022, according to data released by the Secretary of State’s office last week.
In states where voters’ party affiliation is recorded, the proportion of early voters registered as Democrats is significantly higher than that of Republicans.
“Election Lab” data shows that in these states, Democratic voters made up about 44% of early voters, Republican voters made up 31%, and the remaining 25% were voters who did not join a political party or registered as a minor party.
Michael McDonald, a political scientist at the University of Florida who oversees the Election Lab, said voting participation rates among African-American and Hispanic voters are increasing in states that release racial and ethnic data. Among them, turnout was particularly excellent in communities with highly concentrated Hispanic populations along the Texas-Mexico border.
In Georgia, the number of local in-person early voters yesterday broke the all-time record for local midterm elections. As of that day, the number of women voters was 56% of the total number of voters, and the number of men was 44%.
“Georgians continue to go to the polls in record numbers because they trust the system,” said Brad Raffensperger, Georgia’s top elections official.
However, experts caution that these early voting data should not be interpreted as directly predicting the election outcome.
The political party affiliation of registered voters does not reflect which candidate they actually support, and millions of American voters are expected to go to the polls on November 3, the official voting day.
In recent elections, Republican voters have tended to show higher voting participation rates on official voting days, potentially reducing or even reversing the Democrats’ current lead in early voting.
Furthermore, an increase in the number of early voters does not mean that overall turnout will increase, as some voters may actually vote earlier than before, without increasing the desire to vote or the number of voters.
