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On the eve of midterm election voting, Trump used the topic of refurbishing the Reflecting Pool in Washington as a final call for votes. However, several surveys and election models show that the Democratic Party is more optimistic about gaining control of the Senate and House of Representatives.
midterm elections 3vote on the eve,trump President will attendWashington The final call for a vote was for the Reflecting Pool at the Lincoln Memorial, and the speech focused on the Reflecting Pool renovation project. Trump said the project shows that it has the potential to not only restore one of Washington’s most iconic landmarks, but also to improve Washington’s political landscape. Only dozens of people and media attended the 53-minute event and the atmosphere was much quieter than typical campaign events.
The Democratic Party also launched its final wave of campaigning to increase votes. Star-level Democratic Senate candidates like James Tallarico of Texas and Adam Hamilton of Kansas held rallies, capping a campaign filled with tension and fierce competition.
According to the latest data from the Election Lab at the University of Florida, 54.5 million voters nationwide have completed early voting. Senior pollster Nate Silver predicted on the 1st that a “blue tsunami” may occur in which the Democratic Party will achieve a major victory and the Democratic Party has an 80% chance of gaining control of the Senate.
The pool side speech capped Trump’s month-long supporting campaign. Trump traveled to about 20 states to hold campaign events, many of which are red states with strong Republican votes. Trump urged his supporters to think about the midterm elections as if they were on the ballot.
“For some reasons, sitting presidents often don’t win midterm elections. But we’ve tried our best,” Trump said in his speech.
The Washington Post analyzed on the 2nd that as Trump was giving his speech, Republicans were preparing to face the situation of losing their majority seats in one of the House of Representatives and the Senate, and may even lose their majority in both houses at the same time. Pre-election surveys show that the Republican Party may face a crushing defeat in the elections to be held on March 3.
The Democratic Party is expected to regain a majority of seats in the House of Representatives, and Democratic candidates are leading in US Senate elections in several “key states”. Democrats have said they would use congressional power to investigate Trump if returned to the majority, including into how several renovation projects were funded and contractors selected.
If Republicans completely lose their advantage in controlling Congress, Trump will find himself in an unfamiliar and unfavorable situation: facing high domestic inflation during his “weak” tenure, steady progress in the war with Iran, and Democratic scrutiny of his actions in Washington.
Still, Democrats remain cautious with victory predictions. Furthermore, the Democratic Party faced internal divisions toward the end of the election campaign, with leftist candidates periodically clashing with the party establishment.
54.5 million voters completed early voting the day before the election, nearly 100% of the early voting rate for the 2022 midterm elections and half of all voters. There are 23 states across the country where more early voters are voting this year than in the 2022 midterm elections.
Siver wrote in an e-newsletter that South Carolina, Kansas and Iowa have always been red states, and now the Democratic Party is expected to win or tie with the Republican Party. In a survey released by The New York Times and Siena University on the evening of the 1st, their model predicted that the probability of the Democratic Party winning the majority in the Senate reached nearly 80%.
