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AEI and ISW allege that the People’s Liberation Army may conduct undeclared large-scale military exercises around Taiwan, use sea and air forces to surround and cut off external communications, and test its capabilities and psychological effects on isolating Taiwan.
Three weeks before Taiwan’s nine-in-one election, the American think tanks American Enterprise Institute (AEI) and the Institute for War Studies (ISW) released the “China and Taiwan Situation Update” report on the 6th, statingPeople’s Liberation Army It could conduct an unannounced large-scale military exercise, deploy troops around Taiwan and the western Pacific, simulate encirclement and isolation of Taiwan, and demonstrate that it could cut off Taiwan’s external sea and air connections in a conflict, thereby weakening Taiwan’s resistance.Communist Party of China Attack on confidence.
The number of participating ships and the scope of deployment exceeded that of the PLA’s Justice Mission-2025 round-the-Taiwan military exercises late last year, the report said. The deployment of four surface combat groups in the three eastern, northern, and southern theaters outside the first island chain may represent the People’s Liberation Army’s attempt to coordinate the main surface combatants in the three coastal theaters to execute a single far-sea operation.
In addition, the People’s Liberation Army Navy’s main ships are deployed in the western Pacific between Guam and Taiwan, while joint Navy and Coast Guard forces are manning the interior closer to Taiwan. These two points continue the pattern of previous PLA exercises. In April last year, Strait Thunder-2025A circled the inner circle of Taiwan. At the same time, an aircraft strike group was active between Taiwan and Guam.
Beijing usually announces and names large-scale military exercises against Taiwan. He has done this for the last four practices, but he has not announced practices yet. The aim may be to create the impression that Taiwan could be isolated at any time.
Wu Zhaoxi, Secretary General of Taiwan’s National Security Council, posted on social media
Recently, the United States and its allies have also held joint exercises in the Indo-Pacific region, such as the US-Japan Sharp Sword joint exercises from October 19 to 29, in which Australia and the Philippines sent personnel to participate; US, Japan, India and Australia Malabar Maritime Joint Exercise is going on from 5 to 12 November.
Summary FAQ
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The report believes the People’s Liberation Army may conduct unannounced large-scale military exercises focused on encircling Taiwan, cutting off sea and air connections, and testing its ability to isolate Taiwan in a conflict.
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The report pointed out that the number of warships and the scope of deployment exceeded Taiwan’s military exercises late last year, and surface combat groups in the three theaters of the East, North and South were suspected of coordinating and implementing a single high-seas operation.
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Beijing has often announced and named large-scale military exercises against Taiwan in the past, but it did not announce it this time. It may deliberately create an environment of pressure that could block Taiwan at any time and weaken external support and confidence in Taiwan.
