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Following the Republican Party’s collapse in the midterm elections, the party cited Trump’s breach of trust, corruption controversies, the Iran War and inflationary pressures as well as Paxton’s poor nomination in Texas as the main reasons.
The popular Internet meme “The enemy is at Honnoji Temple” can be used as a direct partner for people over 70republican party midterm elections Members of Congress, election consultants, caucus leaders, pollsters, White House officials, and congressional staff investigated the main causes of the collapse. The New York Times reported on the 5th that the main captain of the Republican midterm elections,trump Senior adviser James Blair told the team in a meeting a week before the election: “I see the enemy, and these are my own people.” Tony Fabrizio, the Trump team’s chief pollster, responded: “It’s the same in many places.”
The report notes that failure in this midterm election is not at all inevitable, as the Republican Party has raised record amounts of money, the world’s richest man has come to help, the Supreme Court has issued a favorable ruling on campaign donations, and the opposition party is demoralized and unpopular. Following the redistricting of congressional districts, Democrats will have to win in states they have not won in decades to have a chance at regaining the majority in the Senate. Republicans are also optimistic about maintaining a slight majority in the House of Representatives.
However, the difficulties the Republican Party cannot overcome are a President who has lost public confidence and a war in Iran that has caused oil prices to rise and has continued leading up to the election. The key to the Iran war becoming a powerful force in the midterm elections is that it can tell voters a simple narrative: Trump promised not to fight a war during the campaign, but ultimately started a new war; Trump had promised to lower prices, but oil prices soared and inflation worsened.
The report notes that over the past two years, arrogance has become the main philosophy of Trump’s second term in office.
Reports that Trump, Trump’s family, and Trump associates openly used the power of the presidency to enrich themselves resonated with voters. A Fox News poll conducted in early October showed that the number one issue voters are most concerned about is corruption. At the time, White House spokeswoman Anna Kelly responded that the President’s actions were entirely in the best interests of the American people and there was no conflict of interest.
In 2025, Trump starts a trade war against the world. A year later, farmers in Kansas, Texas, Iowa and other states are still feeling its effects. However, Trump seemed indifferent to the strain his policies have placed on people’s lives and said rising oil prices were “a small price to pay”. He discussed the new White House banquet over the border, discussed golf courses over rising grocery prices, and discussed interior decorating over solving inflation, which once angered some members of his core team. On the eve of the midterm elections, Trump’s final appeal to voters was to publicize the results of the renovation of Washington’s reflecting pool.
In the last two weeks before the election, the Trump team’s polling experts found in the last poll that although the MAGA-line Republican brand and the socialist wing of the Democratic Party were not favored by voters, MAGA’s burden appeared heavy. When Republicans, who had not originally planned to vote in this election, were asked in surveys what changes would compel them to vote again, the two most common answers were: ending wars and solving inflation.
Of all the candidates, the one who has done the most damage to the Republican Party is scandal-ridden Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton. For a year, party insiders had warned that Paxton could deprive the Republican Party of a seat in the Texas Senate, but Trump insisted on letting him replace senior senator John Cornyn. The Republican camp spent approximately $300 million to campaign for Paxton in Texas, but lost the election with a 12% vote deficit. This money could have been used to support Republican elections in other states.
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The report notes that the party generally attributes its defeat to problems within its own camp rather than strong external opponents. Trump’s loss of public trust, lack of policy focus, internal decision-making errors, and candidate controversies combined to drag down his campaign performance.
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The Iran war, rising oil prices and worsening inflation have weakened Trump’s promise of “no war and low prices.” With continuing controversies over corruption and self-aggrandizement, voters have become more concerned about the issue of integrity, giving the Republican Party a clear response.
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Trump endorsed the scandal-plagued Paxton, forcing the Republican Party to invest nearly $300 million in Texas, but still lost 12%. This not only wastes resources but also reduces campaign support, which other states need more.
