Remake of the secret agreement in Yalda? Putin’s invitation to Trump and Xi to discuss fate of Ukraine could deepen Taiwan’s suspicions

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Summary of article:

Putin invited Trump and Xi Jinping to discuss the Russia-Ukraine war and left out Ukraine and Europe. If it goes ahead, it could be seen as a new Yalta-style separation arrangement of spheres of influence, and would also deepen Taiwan’s concerns about its fate.

Russia chairmanPutin It is rumored that he will meet with US President Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping next month to discuss ending the Russia-Ukraine war, but this willukraine And Europe was excluded. The Wall Street Journal reported that the arrangement for the three major powers to discuss another country’s fate could deepen Taiwan’s doubts: Would its own future one day be determined in negotiations in which it failed to participate? Trump has not yet agreed to talks and the time and agenda have also not been decided yet.

Citing people familiar with the matter, The Wall Street Journal reported that Putin had proposed three-way talks during talks with Trump on October 9, and that Russia had suggested holding them during the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) summit in Shenzhen from November 18 to 19. Senior US officials say Trump may be willing to consider it, given his desire to fulfill his campaign promise to end the war.

Kremlin spokesman Peskov confirmed that relevant discussions are ongoing, but it has not yet been decided whether the meeting will take place and what the agenda will be. He said that all three parties believe that negotiations are possible.

People familiar with the matter said that Russia also made the proposal to Beijing through diplomatic channels, and China said that if Trump agreed, Beijing would not object. The White House and the Chinese Embassy in the United States did not respond to requests for comment.

A former Russian intelligence official familiar with the matter said Putin hopes to transform the three-way talks into a second Yalta conference to create a global sphere of influence. The report pointed out that although this effort is unrealistic and cannot be accepted by Trump and Xi Jinping, the scene of the leaders of the three countries jointly discussing the fate of Ukraine may still make Taiwan uncomfortable and wonder whether its own future will one day be negotiated on a similar occasion.

For Putin, such an arrangement would strengthen Russia’s position as a world power and exclude Europe from what Moscow sees as hindering Russia’s victory in Ukraine. If talks proceed, Beijing’s diplomatic role would also increase, but its more direct involvement in the Russia-Ukraine war could lead to a backlash in Europe.

The proposal comes at a time when relations between the United States and Russia are warming, while relations between the United States and Ukraine have fallen to new lows. Trump recently agreed to suspend tightening sanctions on Russia in exchange for supplying diesel to Russia and helping lower oil prices, angering some members of the Republican Party. Trump said that he does not want to force Putin from the negotiating table.

In an interview with Bloomberg on Sunday, Ukrainian President Zelensky accused the United States of deliberately slowing down the speed of the Starlink network and delaying the delivery of anti-aircraft missiles. A series of actions appeared to force Ukraine to surrender. He said, “I don’t want to believe that our American partners think they can sacrifice Ukraine to end the war faster. But that’s what it looks like.”

Zelensky proposed that Ukraine stop attacking Russian oil refineries in exchange for more Patriot anti-aircraft missiles to protect its energy facilities, but said that the United States had only asked the Ukrainian military to stop. He also alleged that some of the interceptor missiles Ukraine paid for have not yet been released by the United States. “This is not a technical issue.”

Trump took to social media on Sunday to accuse Zelensky of being unwilling to end the war, saying Ukraine could have negotiated better terms two years ago. He had previously asked the Ukrainian military to stop attacking Russian oil refineries and even suggested that Ukraine needed to change its president.

Russia and Ukraine continue to attack each other’s energy facilities. Ukraine said Russian forces attacked a substation over the weekend, knocking out power to thousands of homes; A fire broke out at facilities such as an oil terminal in St. Petersburg, Russia. Kiev was hit by another Russian ballistic missile on Sunday night, killing at least one person.

Amid a shortage of interceptor missiles and intensified Russian air strikes, Ukraine is preparing to face a tough winter. Some areas have experienced prolonged power outages, and large cities also face the risk of interruptions in heating and water supplies. Zelensky said he is still in contact with Trump’s special envoy for peace talks and hopes relations between the two sides will ease after the US midterm elections.

Summary FAQ


  • Reports indicate that Putin wants to take advantage of the warming in US-Russian relations to negotiate with Trump and Xi Jinping to end the Russia-Ukraine war and draw Ukraine and Europe out of it to highlight Russia’s position as a global power.


  • Because if the three major powers discuss the fate of another country in the absence of the country concerned, it will easily remind the outside world of the Yalta-style separation of spheres of influence arrangement. Taiwan is worried that its future may also be decided by negotiations with other countries.


  • Trump has not yet agreed to talks, and US-Ukraine relations have also cooled due to sanctions, military aid and strategic differences; Zelensky accused the US of pressuring Ukraine, while Russia and Ukraine continue to attack each other’s energy facilities.

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