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Pre-election polls in Spain show that the People’s Party is expected to defeat Prime Minister Sanchez’s Socialist Party, but it still needs to form a coalition with the Popular Party to control a majority in Congress. The Left is suffering because of poor integration.
Spain’s general election will be held on the 29th. As per latest pre-pollvoting The conservative “People’s Party” will defeat Prime Minister Sanchez’s “Social Workers’ Party”, but the People’s Party still needs to cooperate with the right-wing “Volkswagen Party” to gain a majority in Congress.
Reuters reported that the election campaign will begin in four days and is expected to focus on issues such as housing, immigration and corruption, as well as the aftermath of last month’s deadly train crash. The accident led to the resignation of Transportation Secretary Oscar Puente.
A Sociometrica survey published in El Español predicted that the Popular Party (PP) and the Popular Voice Party (VOX) together are expected to win about 200 seats in the 350-seat House of Representatives; The Socialist Workers Party (PSOE) is expected to win 108 seats, 2 more seats than in the last election. The poll, which interviewed 5,460 people online and had a margin of error of plus or minus 3 percent, showed that the left lost about 832,000 voters to the right.
A poll conducted by 40dB for El País showed that the support gap between the Popular Party and the Socialist Labor Party decreased by 2 percentage points. Support for the Socialist Labor Party rose 1.8 percentage points from the previous survey to 29.9%, but the right-wing camp is still expected to win about 190 seats overall, enough to gain a stable majority in Congress. 40dB interviews 2,000 people via the Internet, and the error range is plus or minus 2.2 percentage points.
The Sigma dos poll published by El Mundo newspaper showed that the Socialist Labor Party has recovered some lost ground after a decline in support following the train crash. It is expected to win 105 seats, but is still far behind the combined 199 seats of the Popular Party and Popular Voice Party. The survey interviewed 4,172 people and had a margin of error of plus or minus 2.1 percentage points.
The IMOP poll, commissioned by El Confidencial, focused on analyzing voters’ shifts in support for different parties rather than predicting seats. The results show that voter loyalty has declined for the Socialist Workers’ Party and increased for the People’s Party, but the increase in supporters of the People’s Party came primarily from the Popular Voice Party.
Spain’s far-left parties failed to agree on a common candidate list last month, reducing Pedro Sanchez’s chances of remaining in power on the basis of a leftist coalition.
Opinion polls show that the leftist Broad Front party is expected to win 10 to 15 seats; The rival leftist party Podemos could be wiped out and left without a single seat in Congress. (Compiled by: Yang Zhaoyan) 1151109
Summary FAQ
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Several pre-election polls showed that the camp composed of the conservative People’s Party and the right-wing People’s Voice Party was clearly in the lead, with the possibility of more than half the seats combined, indicating that the right wing was dominant in this election.
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Because surveys estimate that although the People’s Party has the most votes and seats, it alone is not enough to win a majority in the House of Representatives. To have a chance at forming a stable government, it will have to cooperate with the right-wing People’s Voice party.
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Housing, immigration and corruption are all in focus, with the political fallout from last month’s deadly train crash also weighing on the ruling party. The Transport Minister resigned after the accident, deepening voter dissatisfaction with the government.
